Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Decision making

Therefore that predominating in decision making relative to innovations must be the presumption of danger - in the ecological, medico- social and sociopolitical aspects. In connection with to ecological aspect this principle (presumption of the ecological danger of any project, actually - innovation in the wide understanding) is recorded in the Russian federal law “about the ecological examination” and in the analogous legislative acts of many countries. (In spite of the [bezuslovnuyu] need for this record, it is necessary to express doubt about the fact that this law could be accepted by the present composition of the State Duma.) The practically indicated principle means that any doubts relative to safety of innovation about all known aspects must be received as arguments against its realization (in any case to those times, thus far doubt they will not be scattered). This approach to the scientific and technical progress will convert it into the stabilizing factor in all three trends in steady development (ecological, medico- social and sociopolitical), after excluding the destabilizing effects. Thus, apropos the roles of science in the passage to the steady development in this report are noted two moments. The first lies in the fact that the super problem of science should be understood as the determination of the stability region of civilization - structurization, refinement, concrete definition and quantitative determination of the concepts of the breaking points of those mechanisms and structures, which ensure reproduction and stability of environment, population of the form Of homo of sapiens and human society. The solution of this super problem assumes the deepening of studies of the fundamental laws of the development of biosphere, man and society. The very substantial part of the scientific problems, developed at present, generally speaking, falls under this super problem; however, the absence of aim to it precisely pulverizes the attention of researchers and prevents the system comprehension of the obtained results. This moment is directly connected with goal setting for the research works. The second moment consists of the assertion of the need for a radical change in the relation to the innovations, the [bezuslovnogo] priority of the scientific forecast of the consequences of realizing of the innovation above all real and imaginary advantages, which follow from the particular indices of its result.

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